The Kansas City Chiefs will meet the Houston Texans at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Saturday, Jan. 18 at 4:30 p.m. ET. Our computer model predicts the Chiefs will win — see below for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

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The Chiefs rank 15th in points scored this season (22.6 points per game), but they’ve been thriving on defense, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 19.2 points allowed per game. The Texans rank 19th in the NFL with 21.9 points per game on offense, and they rank 14th with 21.9 points ceded per game on the defensive side of the ball.

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Texans vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks

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Texans Betting Info

• The moneyline for this contest implies a 21.1% chance of a victory for the Texans.
• Houston covered seven times in 17 chances against the spread during the regular season, and is 1-0-0 ATS in the postseason.
• Houston games hit the over six out of 17 times in the regular season, and one of one in the playoffs.
• The average total points scored in Texans games in the regular season (41.5) is 2.9 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Chiefs Betting Info

• The Chiefs have an implied moneyline win probability of 83.3% in this matchup.
• Kansas City has won seven games against the spread this season, while failing to cover or pushing 10 times.
• The Chiefs have not covered the spread when favored by 8.5 points or more this season (in four opportunities).
• In Kansas City’s 17 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total seven times.
• The total for this game is 41.5, 2.4 points fewer than the average total in Chiefs games thus far this season (postseason included).

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Texans vs. Chiefs 2024 Scoring Insights

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