NBA Best Bets: Thunder vs. Rockets Picks for March 3

Published 3:34 am Monday, March 3, 2025

The Houston Rockets (37-23) are heavy underdogs (+10.5) as they look to break a six-game road slide when they square off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (49-11) on Monday, March 3, 2025 at Paycom Center. The contest airs at 8 p.m. ET on NBA TV, FDSOK, and SCHN.

If you hope to make an informed wager on Monday’s game, discover the best bets available in the article below (based on our computer predictions).

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Thunder vs. Rockets Game Info

  • When: Monday, March 3, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
  • Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • TV: NBA TV, FDSOK, and SCHN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Thunder vs. Rockets Best Bets

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Pick ATS: Thunder (- 10.5)

  • Oklahoma City is 37-23-0 against the spread this year.
  • Houston has covered the spread 32 times in 60 games.
  • As 10.5-point favorites or more, the Thunder are 17-10 against the spread.

Bet on this game’s spread with BetMGM

Pick OU:

Under (226.5)

  • The Thunder and their opponents have gone over 226.5 combined points in 32 of 60 games this season.
  • The Rockets have played 27 games this season that have gone over 226.5 combined points scored.
  • Oklahoma City has had an average of 225.7 points in its games this season, 0.8 fewer than this matchup’s total.
  • The average over/under for Houston’s contests this season is 222.9, 3.6 fewer points than this game’s point total.
  • The Thunder score the fourth-most points in the league this season, while the Rockets’ offense racks up the 17th-most.
  • This contest features the NBA’s third-ranked (Rockets) and top-ranked (Thunder) scoring defenses.

Bet on this game’s total with BetMGM

Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-549)

  • The Thunder have won 47, or 82.5%, of the 57 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • The Rockets have been chosen as underdogs in 21 games this year and have walked away with the win nine times (42.9%) in those games.
  • This season, Oklahoma City has won 25 of its 27 games, or 92.6%, when favored by at least -549 on the moneyline.
  • Houston has yet to enter a game this year with longer moneyline odds than +400.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Thunder, based on the moneyline, is 84.6%.

Bet on this game’s moneyline with BetMGM

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