Thunder vs. Rockets Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – March 3
Published 5:16 am Monday, March 3, 2025
The Houston Rockets (37-23) visit the Oklahoma City Thunder (49-11) after losing six road games in a row. The Thunder are heavy favorites by 10.5 points in the contest, which begins at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, March 3, 2025.
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Thunder vs. Rockets Game Info & Odds
- Date: Monday, March 3, 2025
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- How to watch on TV: NBA TV, FDSOK, and SCHN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Venue: Paycom Center
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Thunder vs. Rockets Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Thunder 118 – Rockets 106
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Spread & Total Prediction for Thunder vs. Rockets
- Pick ATS: Thunder (- 10.5)
- Computer Predicted Spread: Thunder (-11.8)
- Pick OU:
Under (226.5)
- Computer Predicted Total: 223.3
- The Thunder sport a 37-23-0 ATS record this season as opposed to the 32-28-0 mark of the Rockets.
- When it comes to exceeding the total in 2024-25, Oklahoma City does it more often (60% of the time) than Houston (51.7%).
- As a moneyline favorite this season, the Thunder are 47-10, a better mark than the Rockets have put up (9-12) as moneyline underdogs.
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Thunder Performance Insights
- When it comes to points, the Thunder are playing well on both offense and defense, as they rank fourth-best in the league in points scored (119.4 per game) and second-best in points allowed (106.6 per contest).
- Oklahoma City is pulling down 44.7 rebounds per game (13th-ranked in league). It is allowing 45.4 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked).
- So far this year, the Thunder rank 12th in the league in assists, averaging 26.8 per game.
- Oklahoma City is thriving when it comes to turnovers, as it ranks best in the league in turnovers committed (11.2 per game) and best in forced turnovers (17.1 per contest).
- The Thunder are sinking 14.2 three-pointers per game (seventh-ranked in league). They sport a 36.4% shooting percentage (12th-ranked) from beyond the arc.
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Rockets Performance Insights
- In 2024-25, the Rockets are 18th in the league on offense (112.6 points scored per game) and fifth-best on defense (108.8 points allowed).
- Houston is the best team in the NBA in rebounds per game (48.1) and is ranked seventh in rebounds allowed (42.9).
- At 22.6 assists per game, the Rockets are worst in the league.
- Houston commits 13.1 turnovers per game and force 13.8 per game, ranking 10th and 14th, respectively, in the league.
- Beyond the arc, the Rockets are fifth-worst in the league in 3-pointers made per game (12.2). And they are fourth-worst in 3-point percentage at 34.2%.
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