How to Pick the Maple Leafs vs. Stars Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – January 14

Published 11:33 am Monday, January 13, 2025

Looking to place some wagers on the upcoming game (Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET) between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Dallas Stars at Scotiabank Arena Below, we submit our best bets, along with our picks and predictions for this matchup.

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Maple Leafs vs. Stars Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 5.5 (model projecting 5.8 goals)

  • Toronto and its opponent have combined for more than Tuesday’s total of 5.5 goals 24 times this season.
  • This season, 20 of Dallas’ games have featured more than 5.5 goals.
  • The total for this game (5.5) is 0.8 less than the combined scoring averages for the Maple Leafs (3.07) and Stars (3.19).
  • The 5.3 goals per game these two teams concede are 0.2 less than the over/under set for this contest.

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Moneyline Pick

Maple Leafs Moneyline: -121

  • The Maple Leafs have won 61.8% of their games when they’ve been a moneyline favorite this season (21-13).
  • In games it has played with moneyline odds of -121 or shorter, Toronto has compiled a 19-12 record (winning 61.3% of its games).
  • The implied moneyline probability for this game says the Maple Leafs have a 54.8% chance to win.

Stars Moneyline: +101

  • Dallas has pulled off an upset victory two times when playing as the underdog on the moneyline this season (in four games as the underdog).
  • The Stars have yet to win a match with moneyline odds of +101 or longer (in two such games).
  • Dallas’ implied probability to win this game is 49.8% based on the moneyline.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Toronto 4, Dallas 3

Maple Leafs Points Leaders

  • A leading offensive player this season for Toronto, Mitchell Marner has put up 59 points.
  • With 24 goals and 20 assists, William Nylander is one of the most important offensive options for Toronto with his 44 points (1.0 per game).
  • Through 43 games, John Tavares has proven himself as an important offensive option for Toronto. He has 42 points (20 goals and 22 assists).
  • In 21 games played this season, Joseph Woll (14-7-0) has allowed 53 goals.

Stars Points Leaders

  • Matt Duchene is a leading scorer for Dallas, with 38 points this season. He has recorded 16 goals and 22 assists in 42 games.
  • Dallas’ Jason Robertson has racked up 35 total points (0.8 per game), with 11 goals and 24 assists.
  • Wyatt Johnston has 10 goals and 20 assists, for a season point total of 30.
  • Jake Oettinger has a 21-9-1 record this season, with a .910 save percentage (18th in the league). In 31 games, he has 718 saves, and has allowed 71 goals (2.4 goals against average).

Maple Leafs’ Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
1/7/2025 Flyers W 3-2 Away -143
1/9/2025 Hurricanes L 6-3 Away +149
1/11/2025 Canucks L 3-0 Home -182
1/14/2025 Stars Home -121
1/16/2025 Devils Home
1/18/2025 Canadiens Away
1/20/2025 Lightning Home

Stars’ Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
1/9/2025 Flyers W 4-1 Away -152
1/11/2025 Canadiens W 2-1 Away -231
1/12/2025 Senators L 3-2 Away -153
1/14/2025 Maple Leafs Away +101
1/16/2025 Canadiens Home
1/18/2025 Avalanche Away
1/19/2025 Red Wings Home

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Toronto vs. Dallas Game Info

  • Date: Tuesday, January 14, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

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