According to our computer model, the Los Angeles Chargers will beat the Houston Texans when they meet at NRG Stadium on Saturday, Jan. 11 (at 4:30 p.m. ET). We have more projections, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available in this article.

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On the defensive side of the ball, the Chargers have been a top-five unit, ranking best by allowing just 17.7 points per game. They rank 11th on offense (23.6 points per game). With 319.7 total yards per game on offense, the Texans rank 22nd in the NFL in 2024. On defense, they rank sixth, surrendering 315.0 total yards per contest.

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Texans vs. Chargers Predictions and Picks

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Texans Betting Info

• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Texans have a 42.6% chance to win.
• Houston has covered seven times in 17 games with a spread this season.
• The Texans have covered the spread twice when an underdog by 3 points or more this year (in four opportunities).
• So far this season, six of Houston’s 17 games with a set number have hit the over.
• The average total for Texans games is 44.4 points, 2.4 more than this game’s over/under.

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Chargers Betting Info

• The Chargers have an implied moneyline win probability of 61.5% in this contest.
• Los Angeles has covered the spread 12 times in 17 games this season.
• The Chargers have been favored by 3 points or more eight times this season, and covered the spread in seven of those games.
• Los Angeles games have gone over the point total eight out of 17 times this season.
• Chargers games have had an average of 42.4 points this season, 0.4 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Texans vs. Chargers 2024 Scoring Insights

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