Texans vs. Patriots Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 6
Published 3:36 pm Saturday, October 12, 2024
At Gillette Stadium on Sunday, Oct. 13, the Houston Texans meet the New England Patriots, starting at 1 p.m. ET. The Texans should win, based on our computer model — continue scrolling to find more tips about the point spread, over/under and even the final score.
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The Texans own the sixth-ranked offense this year (376.6 yards per game), and they’ve been even better defensively, ranking fourth-best with only 274.2 yards allowed per game. The Patriots’ offense has been a bottom-five unit in total offense this season, registering 250.8 total yards per game, which ranks second-worst in the NFL. On defense, they rank 24th with 357.0 total yards ceded per contest.
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Texans vs. Patriots Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Texans (-6.5) | Toss Up (37.5) | Texans 25, Patriots 13 |
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Texans Betting Info
- The Texans have an implied moneyline win probability of 75.0% in this matchup.
- Houston has won just one game against the spread this season.
- So far this season, just one Houston game has hit the over.
- The over/under in this matchup is 37.5 points, 9.0 fewer than the average total in this season’s Texans contests.
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Patriots Betting Info
- The Patriots have a 29.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- New England has a record of just 1-3-1 against the spread this season.
- The Patriots have covered the spread once when an underdog by 6.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
- New England games have hit the over twice this season.
- The average total for Patriots games (postseason included) is 39.4 points, 1.9 more than this game’s over/under.
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Texans vs. Patriots 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | 20.4 | 22.8 | 22.0 | 17.7 | 18.0 | 30.5 |
| Patriots | 12.4 | 20.4 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 10.7 | 21.3 |
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