Texans vs. Bills Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 5
Published 3:37 pm Saturday, October 5, 2024
Based on our computer model, the Houston Texans will defeat the Buffalo Bills when they play at NRG Stadium on Sunday, Oct. 6 (at 1:00 p.m. ET). We have more projections, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available in this article.
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The Texans are putting up 19.8 points per game offensively this season (18th in NFL), and they are giving up 23.5 points per game (22nd) on the other side of the ball. The Bills’ offense has been leading the way for the team, as they rank second-best in the NFL with 30.5 points per contest. In terms of defense, they are giving up 20.8 points per game, which ranks 11th.
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Texans vs. Bills Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Texans (-1) | Toss Up (47) | Texans 26, Bills 21 |
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Texans Betting Info
- The Texans have a 54.5% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
- Houston has not won against the spread this season in four chances.
- The Texans have not covered the spread this season (0-3-1 ATS) when playing as at least 1-point favorites.
- So far this season, just one Houston game has hit the over.
- The over/under for this game is 47 points, 0.7 more than the average point total for Texans games this season (playoffs included).
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Bills Betting Info
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 50.0% chance of a victory for the Bills.
- Buffalo has covered twice in four matchups with a spread this year.
- The Bills have covered the spread once when an underdog by 1 point or more this year (in two opportunities).
- This year, games featuring Buffalo have gone over the point total twice.
- Games involving the Bills this year have averaged 46.9 points per game, a 0.1-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.
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Texans vs. Bills 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | 19.8 | 23.5 | 21.5 | 16.5 | 18 | 30.5 |
| Bills | 30.5 | 20.8 | 40.5 | 19 | 20.5 | 22.5 |
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