Our computer model predicts a victory for the Indianapolis Colts when they face the Houston Texans at Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 8 at 1:00 p.m. ET — for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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The Texans put up 22.2 points per game on offense last year (13th in NFL), and they gave up 20.8 points per game (11th) on defense. Despite having a bottom-five scoring defense that ranked fifth-worst in the NFL last season (24.4 points allowed per game), the Colts had more success on offense, ranking 10th in the NFL by totaling 23.3 points per game.

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Texans vs. Colts Predictions and Picks

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Texans Betting Info

• The Texans have a 61.5% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
• Houston covered nine times in 17 matchups with a spread last season.
• The Texans were favored by 3 points or more five times last season, and covered the spread in two of those matchups.
• Houston games went over the point total six out of 17 times last season.
• The over/under for this game is 49 points, 6.2 more than the average point total for Texans games a year ago.

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Colts Betting Info

• The Colts have a 43.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Indianapolis covered nine times in 17 matchups with a spread last season.
• The Colts were an underdog by 3 points or more five times last season, and covered the spread in two of those contests.
• A total of 11 of Indianapolis games last season went over the point total.
• Games involving the Colts last year averaged 43.5 points per game, a 5.5-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Texans vs. Colts 2023 Scoring Insights

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