Lamar vs. SFA Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 11

Published 12:19 am Saturday, January 11, 2025

Saturday’s game between the Lamar Cardinals (9-6, 4-0 Southland) and the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (7-8, 0-4 Southland) at Montagne Center has a good chance to be a lopsided matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 71-61 and heavily favors Lamar to take home the win. Game time is at 7:00 PM ET on January 11.

According to our computer prediction, Lamar is projected to cover the spread (5.5) versus SFA. The two teams are expected to go over the 129.5 over/under.

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Lamar vs. SFA Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Beaumont, Texas
  • Venue: Montagne Center
  • Line: Lamar -5.5
  • Point total: 129.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Lamar -280, SFA +220

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Lamar vs. SFA Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Lamar 71, SFA 61

Spread & Total Prediction for Lamar vs. SFA

  • Pick ATS: Lamar (-5.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (129.5)

Lamar is 7-5-0 against the spread this season compared to SFA’s 6-6-0 ATS record. The Cardinals have a 5-7-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the ‘Jacks have a record of 3-9-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams score an average of 139.1 points per game, 9.6 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 games, Lamar has a 7-3 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall. SFA has gone 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Lamar Performance Insights

  • The Cardinals’ +109 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 74.4 points per game (212th in college basketball) while allowing 67.1 per contest (72nd in college basketball).
  • The 34.3 rebounds per game Lamar averages rank 97th in the nation, and are 4.3 more than the 30.0 its opponents record per outing.
  • Lamar knocks down 6.7 three-pointers per game (281st in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.8 on average.
  • The Cardinals rank 245th in college basketball by averaging 93.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 36th in college basketball, allowing 84.0 points per 100 possessions.
  • Lamar wins the turnover battle by 1.8 per game, committing 11.7 (202nd in college basketball) while its opponents average 13.5.

SFA Performance Insights

  • The ‘Jacks put up 64.7 points per game (347th in college basketball) while giving up 63.4 per outing (20th in college basketball). They have a +20 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 1.3 points per game.
  • SFA wins the rebound battle by 5.8 boards on average. It collects 35.5 rebounds per game, 60th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 29.7.
  • SFA hits 1.1 fewer threes per game than the opposition, 4.9 (356th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.0.
  • SFA has had more turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 16.3 per game (361st in college basketball) while forcing 14.5 (39th in college basketball).

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