The Kansas City Chiefs will play the Houston Texans at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Saturday, Dec. 21 at 1 p.m. ET. Our computer model predicts the Chiefs will win — keep scrolling for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

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The Chiefs rank 14th in total offense this year (336.3 yards per game), but they’ve been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking fifth-best in the NFL with 336.3 yards allowed per game. The Texans rank 13th in the NFL with 23.4 points per game on offense, and they rank ninth with 21.4 points ceded per game on defense.

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Texans vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks

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Texans Betting Info

• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 37.7% chance of a victory for the Texans.
• Houston has won six games against the spread this year, failing to cover or pushing eight times.
• The Texans have covered the spread when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs in their only opportunity this season.
• Houston and its opponent have combined to hit the over four out of 14 times this year.
• The average total points scored in Texans games (postseason included) this year (42) is 2.9 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Chiefs Betting Info

• Based on this game’s moneyline, the Chiefs’ implied win probability is 66.7%.
• Kansas City has won five games against the spread this season, while failing to cover or pushing nine times.
• The Chiefs have covered the spread twice this season (2-7-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
• Kansas City games have gone over the point total six out of 14 times this season.
• The point total average for Chiefs games this season is 44.1, 2.1 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Texans vs. Chiefs 2024 Scoring Insights

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