Rockets vs. Kings Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – March 1

Published 5:16 am Saturday, March 1, 2025

The Houston Rockets (37-22) host the Sacramento Kings (30-28) after winning three home games in a row. The Rockets are favored by 4.5 points in the matchup, which begins at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 1, 2025.

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Rockets vs. Kings Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
  • Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • How to watch on TV: NBCS-CA and SCHN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Venue: Toyota Center

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Rockets vs. Kings Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Rockets 117 – Kings 110

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Spread & Total Prediction for Rockets vs. Kings

  • Pick ATS: Rockets (- 4.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Rockets (-6.7)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (228.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 227.0
  • The Rockets have covered more often than the Kings this season, recording an ATS record of 32-27-0, as opposed to the 23-35-0 record of the Kings.
  • Houston covers the spread when it is a 4.5-point favorite or more 50% of the time. That’s more often than Sacramento covers as an underdog of 4.5 or more (40%).
  • When it comes to topping the total in 2024-25, Houston does it in fewer games (52.5% of the time) than Sacramento (55.2%).
  • The Rockets have a .737 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (28-10) this season, higher than the .385 winning percentage for the Kings as a moneyline underdog (5-8).

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Rockets Performance Insights

  • The Rockets own a top-five defense this year, ranking fifth-best in the league with 108.8 points allowed per game. Offensively, they rank 16th with 112.8 points scored per contest.
  • Houston is top-five this season in rebounding, ranking best in the league with 48.2 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, it ranks seventh with 42.9 rebounds allowed per contest.
  • The Rockets are averaging just 22.7 dimes per contest, which ranks worst in the league.
  • With 13.1 turnovers per game, Houston ranks 11th in the NBA. It forces 13.8 turnovers per contest, which ranks 13th in the league.
  • It’s been rough sledding for the Rockets in terms of three-pointers, as they are recording only 12.1 made threes per game (fourth-worst in NBA) and are draining just 34.2% of their attempted three-pointers (fourth-worst).

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Kings Performance Insights

  • The Kings score 116.9 points per game and allow 115.6, ranking them sixth in the league on offense and 21st defensively.
  • At 45 rebounds per game and 42.9 rebounds conceded, Sacramento is 10th and seventh in the league, respectively.
  • This season the Kings are ranked 12th in the NBA in assists at 26.9 per game.
  • Sacramento commits 13 turnovers per game and force 13.6 per game, ranking eighth and 17th, respectively, in the league.
  • The Kings make 12.5 3-pointers per game and shoot 34.9% from beyond the arc, ranking 21st and 20th, respectively, in the league.

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