Rockets vs. Heat Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – December 29

Published 5:17 am Sunday, December 29, 2024

The Houston Rockets (21-10) hit the court against the Miami Heat (15-14) as 7.5-point favorites on Sunday, December 29, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET on SCHN and FDSSUN.

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Rockets vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Sunday, December 29, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: SCHN and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Venue: Toyota Center

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Rockets vs. Heat Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Rockets 114 – Heat 106

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Spread & Total Prediction for Rockets vs. Heat

  • Pick ATS: Rockets (- 7.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (216.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 220.2
  • The Rockets have covered the spread more often than the Heat this season, sporting an ATS record of 19-12-0, compared to the 14-15-0 record of the Heat.
  • When the spread is set as 7.5 or more this season, Houston (4-3) covers a higher percentage of those games when it is the favorite (57.1%) than Miami (1-1) does as the underdog (50%).
  • When it comes to going over the over/under in 2024-25, Miami and its opponents do it more often (55.2% of the time) than Houston and its opponents (51.6%).
  • The Rockets have a .773 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (17-5) this season while the Heat have a .364 winning percentage as a moneyline underdog (4-7).

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Rockets Performance Insights

  • The Rockets sport a top-five defense this season, ranking third-best in the league with 106.7 points allowed per game. Offensively, they rank 12th with 113.4 points scored per contest.
  • Houston is allowing 43.5 boards per game this year (10th-ranked in NBA), but it has thrived by averaging 49.7 rebounds per contest (best).
  • The Rockets are dishing out just 22.4 assists per game, which ranks second-worst in the league.
  • With 13 turnovers per game, Houston ranks seventh in the NBA. It forces 14.2 turnovers per contest, which ranks 13th in the league.
  • The Rockets rank second-worst in the NBA with a 32.7% shooting percentage from three-point land. Meanwhile, they are making 11.9 three-pointers per game (24th-ranked in league).

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Heat Performance Insights

  • The Heat are 19th in the NBA in points scored (111.3 per game) and sixth in points conceded (109).
  • With 43.2 rebounds per game and 45.3 rebounds conceded, Miami is 20th and 25th in the league, respectively.
  • At 25.5 assists per game, the Heat are 16th in the league.
  • Miami is the third-best team in the NBA in turnovers per game (12.4) and 11th in turnovers forced (14.3).
  • In 2024-25, the Heat are eighth in the NBA in 3-point makes (14.5 per game) and sixth in 3-point percentage (37.6%).

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